英语翻译The magnitude of the bias in estimating the changes due
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英语翻译
The magnitude of the bias in estimating the changes due to trade reform with depends on the level of initial tariffs and the size of the tariff cuts-the larger the initial distortion and tariff reductions,the larger the bias when duty exemptions are ignored.The bias in GTAP’ s estimates of China’s real GDP,trade flows and welfare changes due to accession increases by more than three times when China’s pre-intervention tariffs are from their 1997 levels to the much higher 1995 levels.These results suggest that trade liberalization studies focusing on economies in which protection is high,import concessions play an important role,and planned tariff cuts are deep must always treat duty drawbacks explicitly in order to avoid serious errors in their estimates of sectoral,trade flow,and welfare changes.
The magnitude of the bias in estimating the changes due to trade reform with depends on the level of initial tariffs and the size of the tariff cuts-the larger the initial distortion and tariff reductions,the larger the bias when duty exemptions are ignored.The bias in GTAP’ s estimates of China’s real GDP,trade flows and welfare changes due to accession increases by more than three times when China’s pre-intervention tariffs are from their 1997 levels to the much higher 1995 levels.These results suggest that trade liberalization studies focusing on economies in which protection is high,import concessions play an important role,and planned tariff cuts are deep must always treat duty drawbacks explicitly in order to avoid serious errors in their estimates of sectoral,trade flow,and welfare changes.
如此严重的偏见在估计由于贸易改革与变化取决于初始关税水平和规模庞大的关税cuts-the较大的初始变形和关税削减、较大的偏见当责任豁免被忽略.' s的偏置在GTAP估计中国的实际国内生产总值(GDP)的贸易流量和福利的变化,由于加入世界贸易组织,增加3倍多在中国的pre-intervention关税从他们更高水平的1997年1995年的水平.这些结果表明,贸易自由化的研究聚焦在经济大国中,保护,进口让步是高的,起着重要的作用,而大幅削减税率是深计划必须总是把责任明确,以避免缺陷严重错误的估计,在他们的部门和社会福利变化,贸易流程.
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